MLB Weekly Counts – ML/ATS/Totals – Favorites/Dogs/Overs/Unders By Game Type

Throughout the MLB season we will be updating the embedded spreadsheet found below, which provides an in-depth breakdown of many key indicators by Money Line, Line, and Total results.

In the embedded Excel workbook below, you will find the following worksheets:

1. BY_GAME_TYPE – Results by Division, League, and Inter-League play by week
2. BY_AWAY_HOME – Results by Division, League, and Inter-League play by Away/Home Win%
3. BY_PUBLIC_CONSENSUS – Analysis of whether the Public Betting Consensus was correct or incorrect by week

Please note the following regarding the data:

• The data is for the Current Season of MLB that we display on our site GreyMatterStats
• The data is grouped by a week-ending date and a running season-to-date total
• When a Money Line percent is greater than 75%, the cell is highlighted in green
• When a Line or Total percent is greater than 60%, the cell is highlighted in green
• We have added cells that show the current week differences for both the Season to Date and the Prior Week’s data
• In games that closed as a Pick, for our purposes the Home Team was the Favorite
• All Pushes have been omitted
• On the Excel Web App toolbar of embedded spreadsheet, if you click the right-most button, View Full Size Workbook, the entire workbook will open for viewing in a new window

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We hope you find the information an asset to your handicapping and please visit our free site, GreyMatterStats, where we put this information at your fingertips.

If you find something of interest that you would like to share, please feel free to leave a comment or Tweet us @GreyMatterStats

Twitter Question – Do Tired Arms Lead To More Overs As We Approach The All-Star Break?

We got a question via Twitter from @JoeDellAnno who asked, how do MLB totals fare the week before the All-Star Game with the theory being that the bullpens are tired?

To answer this question we went to our MLB history for 2009, 2010, 2011, and season to date for 2012 and extracted data in three groups.

1. Ten Days Prior To The All-Star Break
2. Last Series Before The All-Star Break
3. First Half Of  An MLB Season – Used as a baseline to compare the findings from the other time-frames

In addition to analyzing the totals, we also took a look to see if there was anything of interest regarding money line or run line data for the selected time-frames.

The screenshot below presents the overall findings, which can also be found in the spreadsheet embedded below.

 

Twitter Question – Does The Wind Blowing In Or Out At Wrigley Materially Affect The Total Result?

We got a question from @JeffFogle who asked  us if we had any data to indicate what impact  the wind blowing in or out at Wrigley has had on the Total Result there.

The first thing we told Jeff was that we did not carry any weather information in our archives. He suggested that if we could provide outcome data where the total was >=11, which would indicate a wind blowing out day, and where the total <= 7.5, which would indicate a wind blowing in day,  that it would suffice for his purposes.

So below you will find two screen captures that show the total results data at Wrigley field for the 2009, 2010, 2011, and STD for 2012.  The first screen capture shows the Wrigley total  results compared to all other stadiums in MLB which we used as a baseline.  The second screen capture shows the deviation of the Wrigley total results for totals of 11 or higher and 7.5 and lower versus the mid-range of 8.0-10.5.

Some miscellaneous notes and observations: