Home > 2012 Season, MLB, Trends, Twitter Question, User Questions > Twitter Question – Does The Wind Blowing In Or Out At Wrigley Materially Affect The Total Result?

Twitter Question – Does The Wind Blowing In Or Out At Wrigley Materially Affect The Total Result?

We got a question from @JeffFogle who asked  us if we had any data to indicate what impact  the wind blowing in or out at Wrigley has had on the Total Result there.

The first thing we told Jeff was that we did not carry any weather information in our archives. He suggested that if we could provide outcome data where the total was >=11, which would indicate a wind blowing out day, and where the total <= 7.5, which would indicate a wind blowing in day,  that it would suffice for his purposes.

So below you will find two screen captures that show the total results data at Wrigley field for the 2009, 2010, 2011, and STD for 2012.  The first screen capture shows the Wrigley total  results compared to all other stadiums in MLB which we used as a baseline.  The second screen capture shows the deviation of the Wrigley total results for totals of 11 or higher and 7.5 and lower versus the mid-range of 8.0-10.5.

Some miscellaneous notes and observations:

  • Stating the obvious, we only have about half a current 2012 season’s data to analysis
  • All Pushes have been excluded
  • STD for total of 7.5 or less the Over has been 55.0%, 5.8% higher than all other stadiums
  • STD for total of 11.0 or higher the Over has been 66.7%, 3.0% higher than all other stadiums
  • STD when the total has been 7.5 or less the Over has been 24.2% more likely than when the Total ranged from 8.0-10.5
  • STD when the total has been 11.0 or higher the Over has been 35.9% more likely than when the Total ranged from 8.0-10.5
  • STD when the total ranged from 8.0-10.5 the Under has been the side 69.2%
  • STD when the total has been 11.0 or higher at any stadium, the Over has been 61.5%
  • Across 3.5 years of history at Wrigley, the Under has been the side 55.1%, regardless of the total

If there are any handicapping questions that you may have related to the NFL, NCAAF, NBA, NCAAB, or MLB please feel free to pass them along, and we would be happy to provide answers if we can.

We hope you find the information an asset to your handicapping and please visit our free site, GreyMatterStats, where we put this information at your fingertips.

If you find something of interest that you would like to share, please feel free to leave a comment or Tweet us @GreyMatterStats

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