Archive

Posts Tagged ‘NCAAF’

GreyMatterStats – 2012 College Football Side/ Total Selection Tracker Through 01/03/2013

With the end of the College Football Regular Season, from now until the BCS Championship Game we will track our selection results grouped by the Week Heading “BG”.

The Season-To-Date results for our recommended College Football Sides/Totals is as follows:

Overall – 104-81, 56.2% – Net $2461
Money Line – 11-10, 52.4% – Net $971 (Note – All Money Line plays were Dogs)
ATS – 77-52, 59.7% – Net $1980
Totals – 16-19, 45.7% – Net -$490

As promised, in the embedded spreadsheet below you will find our running tally of how we have done by week and season to date for the College Football.

Read more…

GreyMatterStats – 2012 College Football Side/ Total Selection Tracker Through 12/31/2012

With the end of the College Football Regular Season, from now until the BCS Championship Game we will track our selection results grouped by the Week Heading “BG”.

The Season-To-Date results for our recommended College Football Sides/Totals is as follows:

Overall – 104-81, 56.2% – Net $2461
Money Line – 11-10, 52.4% – Net $971 (Note – All Money Line plays were Dogs)
ATS – 77-52, 59.7% – Net $1980
Totals – 16-19, 45.7% – Net -$490

As promised, in the embedded spreadsheet below you will find our running tally of how we have done by week and season to date for the College Football.

Read more…

GreyMatterStats – 2012 College Football Side/ Total Selection Tracker Through 12/27/2012

December 28, 2012 Leave a comment

With the end of the College Football Regular Season, from now until the BCS Championship Game we will track our selection results grouped by the Week Heading “BG”.

The Season-To-Date results for our recommended College Football Sides/Totals is as follows:

Overall – 104-81, 56.2% – Net $2461
Money Line – 11-10, 52.4% – Net $971 (Note – All Money Line plays were Dogs)
ATS – 77-52, 59.7% – Net $1980
Totals – 16-19, 45.7% – Net -$490

As promised, in the embedded spreadsheet below you will find our running tally of how we have done by week and season to date for the College Football.

Read more…

GreyMatterStats – 2012 College Football Side/ Total Selection Tracker Through 12/22/2012

December 23, 2012 Leave a comment

With the end of the College Football Regular Season, from now until the BCS Championship Game we will track our selection results grouped by the Week Heading “BG”.

The Season-To-Date results for our recommended College Football Sides/Totals is as follows:

Overall – 104-81, 56.2% – Net $2461
Money Line – 11-10, 52.4% – Net $971 (Note – All Money Line plays were Dogs)
ATS – 77-52, 59.7% – Net $1980
Totals – 16-19, 45.7% – Net -$490

As promised, in the embedded spreadsheet below you will find our running tally of how we have done by week and season to date for the College Football.

Read more…

NCAAF – HANDICAPPING STATS – THROUGH 12/15/2012

December 19, 2012 Leave a comment

The information presented here is inclusive of all games  played as of the “through date” for the College Football Season, as well as historic data that provides a snapshot of what is happening by week for the current and prior seasons across many variables.

In the embedded Excel workbook below, you will find the following worksheets:

  • BY_GAME_TYPE_STD – ML/ATS/TOTAL RESULTS BY CONFERENCE/NON-CONFERENCE GAMES BY WEEK
  • BY_AWAY_HOME_STD – ML/ATS/TOTAL RESULTS BY AWAY/HOME BY WEEK
  • ML_BY_WEEK – GRAPH OF MONEY LINE FAVORITE WIN% BY WEEK FOR CURRENT SEASON AND HISTORY
  • ATS_BY_WEEK – GRAPH OF ATS FAVORITE WIN% BY WEEK FOR CURRENT SEASON AND HISTORY
  • TOTAL_BY_WEEK – GRAPH OF TOTAL OVER WIN% BY WEEK FOR CURRENT SEASON AND HISTORY
  • CLOSING_LINE_BY_WEEK – ATS FAVORITE WIN% BY WEEK FOR CURRENT SEASON AND HISTORY BY CLOSING LINE – ROLLING TOTAL REPRESENTS AGGREGATE FOR ALL WEEKS TO DATE
  • LINE_MOVE_BY_WEEK – PERCENT INDICATING HOW CORRECT LINE MOVES WERE BY WEEK
  • ATS VARIANCE BY WEEK – FREQUENCY BY WEEK OF HOW FAR THE EQUATION (FAV FINAL-DOG FINAL-CLOSING LINE) FELL FROM THE CLOSING LINE
  • CLOSING_TOTAL_BY_WEEK – TOTAL OVER WIN% BY WEEK FOR CURRENT SEASON AND HISTORY BY CLOSING TOTAL – ROLLING TOTAL REPRESENTS AGGREGATE FOR ALL WEEKS TO DATE
  • TOTAL_MOVE_BY_WEEK – PERCENT INDICATING HOW CORRECT TOTAL MOVES WERE BY WEEK
  • TOTAL_VARIANCE_BY_WEEK – FREQUENCY BY WEEK OF HOW FAR THE EQUATION (FAV FINAL+DOG FINAL-CLOSING TOTAL) FELL FROM THE CLOSING TOTAL

Please note the following regarding the data:

For the spreadsheets BY_GAME_TYPE_STD and BY_AWAY_HOME_STD:

  • The data is grouped by a week-ending date and a running season-to-date total
  • When a Money Line percent is greater than 75%, the cell is highlighted in green
  • When a Line or Total percent is greater than 60%, the cell is highlighted in green
  • We have added cells that show the current week differences for both the Season to Date and the Prior Week’s data
  • In games that closed as a Pick, for our purposes the Home Team was the Favorite
  • All Pushes have been omitted

For the spreadsheets labeled LINE_MOVE_BY_WEEK and TOTAL_MOVE_BY_WEEK:

  • The data is displayed in terms of how often the Line/Total move was correct for each line item
  • the value of -99 = the cumulative sum of all cases where the line moved down
  • the value of 99 = the cumulative sum of all cases where the line moved up

For the spreadsheets labeled LINE_VARIANCE_BY_WEEK and TOTAL_VARIANCE_BY_WEEK:

  • The data is displayed frequencies indicating how far from the Closing Line/Total the Final Outcomes were – More accurate Closing Lines/Totals would display as a cluster around the center value of 0(zero), while data painted further from either side of 0(zero) would indicate less accurate Lines/Totals
  • Read more…

2012/2013 Bowl Games – Every Meaningful and Meaningless Handicapping Stat You Ever Wanted To Know

December 13, 2012 Leave a comment

The 2012/2013 Bowl Season is upon us and we have put together a bunch of Handicapping Stats has they relate to all the individual Bowl Games as well as the past performance of all teams playing.

Below you will find the following 4 spreadsheets:

1. Bowl_Games – ML/ATS/Total and Projected Results for last 5 years of Bowl Games

2. Team_Detail – ML/ATS/Total and Projected Results for last 5 years By Team as Favorites/Underdogs

3. Line_Total – ATS Result by Line and Total Result by Total for last 5 years of Bowl data

4. Conf_Vs_Conf – ML/ATS/Total and Projected Results By Conference vs Conference for last 5 years of Bowl data

Please note for all data where Bowl names have changed the data has been aggregated to the current Bowl name, and that Conference realignment may make some data appear inaccurate.

Bowl_Games – ML/ATS/Total and Projected Results for last 5 years of Bowl Games

Tab 1 – Alpha By Bowl Game Name

Tab 2 – By Straight Up Favorite Win %

Tab 3 – By GreyMatterStats Straight Up Projected Win %

Tab 4 – By ATS Favorite Win %

Tab 5 – By GreyMatterStats ATS Projected Win %

Tab 6 – By Total Over Win %

Tab 7 – By GreyMatterStats Total Projected Win %

*

Read more…

GreyMatterStats – 2012 College Football Side/ Total Selection Tracker Through 12/08/2012

December 11, 2012 Leave a comment

We closed out the College Football Regular Season last week with a split.

The Season-To-Date results for our recommended College Football Sides/Totals is as follows:

Overall – 104-81, 56.2% – Net $2461
Money Line – 11-10, 52.4% – Net $971 (Note – All Money Line plays were Dogs)
ATS – 77-52, 59.7% – Net $1980
Totals – 16-19, 45.7% – Net -$490

As promised, in the embedded spreadsheet below you will find our running tally of how we have done by week and season to date for the College Football.

Read more…

%d bloggers like this: