Archive for the ‘MLB’ Category

Getting The Most Out Of Our Website – How To Use The “Current Games – Detail View” Section

December 1, 2012 Leave a comment

We often see questions posted on Twitter asking where to find handicapping information, and it makes us feel that we are not doing a very good job of informing people about all our site has to offer.

As I am sure most of you reading this know there are countless sites that provide this type of  information, but it had been our experience that most of it was fragmented, not very comprehensive, and displayed in ways that doesn’t make sense.

We just thought that someone could do a better job, so why not us.

When designing the site we included all the information that we found ourselves searching out, grouped it by individual game, and then displayed all that information in a way that mirrors how our users, the handicapping public, intuitively think.

In addition to providing the data, we allow you access to it via query tools that we feel are better than anything offered across this very crowded space.

While we think we have done a pretty good job, and hope you do as well, we continue to feel that too much of our site’s functionality and information is being under utilized.

When we look at how our users navigate within our site, it is clear that people land on a main page and either don’t think about or don’t know how much other valuable information is a few clicks away.

With that in mind we thought it might be helpful if we posted a series of articles that drilled down on our site’s features and the data that we offer.

The first topic we chose to write about is the “Current Games – Detail View”.

This is available for all the Leagues that we track and offers a VERY VERY detailed look at all the currently scheduled games from a handicapping perspective.

Some of the highlights include:

  • The most thorough Game Snapshot you will find on the web, including anything and everything from Line/Total Movement, Game Time (which came be customized to your time zone),  and a link that provides the weather forecast for any outdoor venue.
  • Head-To-Head Cover Rates, Scoring Averages by Road/Home Team (For MLB Pitcher specific data is included), and a 5 year roster of all their games complete with historic ML/ATS/Total results
  • Query Tool that shows you Cover Rates at the current Line/Total and allows you to adjust the Line/Total  by half points to see if there has been any value in buying the Line/Total up or down
  • Displays how the teams have done historically specific to the current game role – For example Coming off a Home Loss on Short Weeks Rest
  • Query Tool that allows you to return ML/ATS/Total histories at the click of a  button for countless scenarios – For example – How have the Bears done as a Dog in Road Division Games On Grass?
  • ML/ATS/Total history for both teams that you can both sort and filter
  • Match up data presented side by side showing one team’s offense vs the other team’s defense complete with ranking data for each category to help make the comparisons more meaningful

Below you will find a much more in-depth look at “Current Games – Detail View” section of our site.

We hope you find this informative, and if you have questions we would love to hear from you so please feel free to reach out to us on Twitter @GreyMatterStats .

Current Games – Detail View

This view displays a detailed look at the current card of games for each league.

It is broken down into a header and a series of tabs.

Current Games – Detail View – Header

The header display remains visible regardless of what tab you chose and offers a quick reference on the details of a game, such as who is playing, Current Money Line, Line, and Total data, as well as the projected final scores. Throughout the website, the

Favorite team is highlighted in dark green and the Underdog in dark red.


The arrows will page from game to game and for quick access to a specific match-up you can use the drop down menu to go directly to any game.

If one team opened as the favorite, and currently the other team is currently the favorite, the Open Favorite A/H and Current Favorite A/H fields will be highlighted in yellow, alerting you to this change.

In some cases a game may have a valid Line but no Total. In that event, the system defaults to a Total of 299 and highlights the Current Total field in yellow alerting you that no valid total is available.

Current Games – Detail View – Game Snapshot

This tab drills down on the specifics of the selected game. Here you can find information about each team, such as streaks leading into the current game, Current Line and Total data, projected winners and Total result, as well as date, time, venue, and weather information.


Please note, that during registration you can select a preferred time zone, in which to display all game time data.

If Game Type is something other than “Regular Season”, the display will be highlighted in yellow.

If game is being played at a Neutral Site, the display will be highlighted in yellow.

As mentioned above, in some cases a game may have a valid Line but no Total. In that event, the system defaults to a Total of 299 and on this tab highlights the Open Total, Current Total, and Projected Total Result fields in yellow, alerting you that no valid total is available.

Read more…


MLB Weekly Counts – ML/ATS/Totals – Favorites/Dogs/Overs/Unders By Game Type

September 10, 2012 Leave a comment

Throughout the MLB season we will be updating the embedded spreadsheet found below, which provides an in-depth breakdown of many key indicators by Money Line, Line, and Total results.

In the embedded Excel workbook below, you will find the following worksheets:

  1. BY_GAME_TYPE – Results by Division, League, and Inter-League play by week
  2. BY_AWAY_HOME – Results by Division, League, and Inter-League play by Away/Home Win%
  3. BY_PUBLIC_CONSENSUS – Analysis of whether the Public Betting Consensus was correct or incorrect by week

Please note the following regarding the data:

    • The data is for the Current Season of MLB that we display on our site GreyMatterStats
    • The data is grouped by a week-ending date and a running season-to-date total
    • When a Money Line percent is greater than 75%, the cell is highlighted in green
    • When a Line or Total percent is greater than 60%, the cell is highlighted in green
    • We have added cells that show the current week differences for both the Season to Date and the Prior Week’s data
    • In games that closed as a Pick, for our purposes the Home Team was the Favorite
    • All Pushes have been omitted
    • On the Excel Web App toolbar of embedded spreadsheet, if you click the right-most button, View Full Size Workbook, the entire workbook will open for viewing in a new window


We hope you find the information an asset to your handicapping and please visit our free site, GreyMatterStats, where we put this information at your fingertips.

If you find something of interest that you would like to share, please feel free to leave a comment or Tweet us @GreyMatterStats

Twitter Question – Do Tired Arms Lead To More Overs As We Approach The All-Star Break?

We got a question via Twitter from @JoeDellAnno who asked, how do MLB totals fare the week before the All-Star Game with the theory being that the bullpens are tired?

To answer this question we went to our MLB history for 2009, 2010, 2011, and season to date for 2012 and extracted data in three groups.

  1. Ten Days Prior To The All-Star Break
  2. Last Series Before The All-Star Break
  3. First Half Of  An MLB Season – Used as a baseline to compare the findings from the other time-frames

In addition to analyzing the totals, we also took a look to see if there was anything of interest regarding money line or run line data for the selected time-frames.

The screenshot below presents the overall findings, which can also be found in the spreadsheet embedded below.


Read more…

Twitter Question – Does The Wind Blowing In Or Out At Wrigley Materially Affect The Total Result?

We got a question from @JeffFogle who asked  us if we had any data to indicate what impact  the wind blowing in or out at Wrigley has had on the Total Result there.

The first thing we told Jeff was that we did not carry any weather information in our archives. He suggested that if we could provide outcome data where the total was >=11, which would indicate a wind blowing out day, and where the total <= 7.5, which would indicate a wind blowing in day,  that it would suffice for his purposes.

So below you will find two screen captures that show the total results data at Wrigley field for the 2009, 2010, 2011, and STD for 2012.  The first screen capture shows the Wrigley total  results compared to all other stadiums in MLB which we used as a baseline.  The second screen capture shows the deviation of the Wrigley total results for totals of 11 or higher and 7.5 and lower versus the mid-range of 8.0-10.5.

Some miscellaneous notes and observations:

Read more…

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