Home > 2012 Season, 2012/2013 Season, NFL, Trends, Twitter Question > NFL – FINAL 2012/2013 REGULAR SEASON HANDICAPPING STATS

NFL – FINAL 2012/2013 REGULAR SEASON HANDICAPPING STATS

The information presented here is inclusive of all games  played through Week 17 of the NFL Season.

The screenshot below offers a top-line view of what occurred this past season from a handicapping perspective.

In our opinion the most interesting finding is the fact that overall, Underdogs finished the season at 54.0%, and Dogs in Non-Conference games were a huge 60.7%.  For the full report please visit the spreadsheet found below.

NFL 2012/2013 COMPLETE REGULAR SEASON HANDICAPPING STATS

NFL 2012/2013 COMPLETE REGULAR SEASON HANDICAPPING STATS

 

In the embedded Excel workbook below, you will find the following worksheets:

  • BY_GAME_TYPE_STD – ML/ATS/TOTAL RESULTS BY CONFERENCE/NON-CONFERENCE GAMES BY WEEK
  • BY_AWAY_HOME_STD – ML/ATS/TOTAL RESULTS BY AWAY/HOME BY WEEK
  • ML_BY_WEEK – GRAPH OF MONEY LINE FAVORITE WIN% BY WEEK FOR CURRENT SEASON AND HISTORY
  • ATS_BY_WEEK – GRAPH OF ATS FAVORITE WIN% BY WEEK FOR CURRENT SEASON AND HISTORY
  • TOTAL_BY_WEEK – GRAPH OF TOTAL OVER WIN% BY WEEK FOR CURRENT SEASON AND HISTORY
  • CLOSING_LINE_BY_WEEK – ATS FAVORITE WIN% BY WEEK FOR CURRENT SEASON AND HISTORY BY CLOSING LINE – ROLLING TOTAL REPRESENTS AGGREGATE FOR ALL WEEKS TO DATE
  • LINE_MOVE_BY_WEEK – PERCENT INDICATING HOW CORRECT LINE MOVES WERE BY WEEK
  • ATS VARIANCE BY WEEK – FREQUENCY BY WEEK OF HOW FAR THE EQUATION (FAV FINAL-DOG FINAL-CLOSING LINE) FELL FROM THE CLOSING LINE
  • CLOSING_TOTAL_BY_WEEK – TOTAL OVER WIN% BY WEEK FOR CURRENT SEASON AND HISTORY BY CLOSING TOTAL – ROLLING TOTAL REPRESENTS AGGREGATE FOR ALL WEEKS TO DATE
  • TOTAL_MOVE_BY_WEEK – PERCENT INDICATING HOW CORRECT TOTAL MOVES WERE BY WEEK
  • TOTAL_VARIANCE_BY_WEEK – FREQUENCY BY WEEK OF HOW FAR THE EQUATION (FAV FINAL+DOG FINAL-CLOSING TOTAL) FELL FROM THE CLOSING TOTAL

Please note the following regarding the data:

For the spreadsheets BY_GAME_TYPE_STD and BY_AWAY_HOME_STD:

  • The data is grouped by a week-ending date and a running season-to-date total
  • When a Money Line percent is greater than 75%, the cell is highlighted in green
  • When a Line or Total percent is greater than 60%, the cell is highlighted in green
  • We have added cells that show the current week differences for both the Season to Date and the Prior Week’s data
  • In games that closed as a Pick, for our purposes the Home Team was the Favorite
  • All Pushes have been omitted

For the spreadsheets labeled LINE_MOVE_BY_WEEK and TOTAL_MOVE_BY_WEEK:

  • The data is displayed in terms of how often the Line/Total move was correct for each line item
  • the value of -99 = the cumulative sum of all cases where the line moved down
  • the value of 99 = the cumulative sum of all cases where the line moved up

For the spreadsheets labeled LINE_VARIANCE_BY_WEEK and TOTAL_VARIANCE_BY_WEEK:

  • The data is displayed frequencies indicating how far from the Closing Line/Total the Final Outcomes were – More accurate Closing Lines/Totals would display as a cluster around the center value of 0(zero), while data painted further from either side of 0(zero) would indicate less accurate Lines/Totals

On the Excel Web App toolbar of embedded spreadsheet, if you click the right-most button, View Full Size Workbook, the entire workbook will open for viewing in a new window

***

We hope you find the information an asset to your handicapping and please visit our free site, GreyMatterStats, where we put this information at your fingertips.

If you find something of interest that you would like to share, please feel free to leave a comment or Tweet us  @GreyMatterStats

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