Home > 2012 Season, ncaaf, Projections > GreyMatterStats 2012 College Football Projected Win Totals and Conference Standings

GreyMatterStats 2012 College Football Projected Win Totals and Conference Standings

UPDATED 08/27/2012 – PLEASE NOTE THAT WE UPDATED SOME OF THE  OVER/UNDER BETTING TOTALS WITH CURRENT NUMBERS.

UPDATED 07/18/2012 – PLEASE NOTE THAT WE NOW HAVE OVER/UNDER BETTING TOTALS POSTED FOR ALL 124 TEAMS.

UPDATED 07/17/2012 – PLEASE NOTE THAT WE HAVE UPDATED THE TEAM’S OVER/UNDER BETTING TOTALS WITH CURRENT NUMBERS.

UPDATED 07/08/2012 – PLEASE NOTE THAT WE HAVE UPDATED SEVERAL PROJECTED TEAM WIN TOTALS AS WELL AS PROJECTED CONFERENCE STANDINGS. WE MAY CHOSE TO DO ONE MORE UPDATE BEFORE THE SEASON STARTS FOR REAL, BUT WE FEEL MUCH MORE COMFORTABLE WITH THIS V.2.0 VERSION, SPECIFICALLY IN REGARDS TO HOW COACHING/PLAYER CHANGES HAVE BEEN ADDRESSED IN CONTRAST TO OUR INITIAL RELEASE IN MAY.

Around this time each year we start preparing our data-sets for the upcoming football season.

There is ALOT of  housekeeping that happens before they finally kick it off for real.

In addition to in depth QC, we look to refine our methodologies across the board, to see if we can be doing something better/smarter.

One of the processes that we have historically done is to project out entire seasons.  Projecting out an entire season helps us to gauge the impact of some of the variables that we adjust for,  such as a new coach or quarterback.

We have never published this data before, but decided to do it this year and wanted to make sure we credit the good people at www.beyondthebets.com (BTB) for the idea to do so.

BTB does a great job of alerting their readers to things such as the early release of Win Totals, and their forum offers informative and useful information as well.  If you are interested in sports betting and haven’t checked BTB out, please do so.

It goes without saying that projecting outcomes for the entire 2012 College Football Season on Memorial Day Weekend, is a very speculative exercise.

That said, sports books have already released Win Totals for some of the teams, and hopefully this information will be helpful.

We enjoy the Football Futures and think that if you pick your spots there seems to be some real value on the board each year.  Additionally, the Futures give you “season long” action and provide easy opportunity to hedge if need be.

And if posting this simply gets people talking about College Football in May, than that is more than alright with us as well.

In the spreadsheet below you will find our projected win totals for all FBS College Football teams, as well as our projected final conference standings complete with conference, non-conference, and overall projected records.

In the embedded Excel workbook below, you will find the following worksheets:

  1. BY_TEAM – PROJECTED WIN TOTALS BY TEAM
  2. BY_WINS – PROJECTED WIN TOTALS – BY WINS
  3. BY_OVERLAY – PROJECTED WIN TOTALS BY OVERLAY BASED ON THE CURRENT TOTAL WINS OVER/UNDER
  4. BY_TEAM_DETAIL – SHOWS EACH TEAM’S GAME BY GAME PROJECTED RESULT
  5. PROJECTED_CONF_STANDINGS – PROJECTED FINAL CONFERENCE STANDINGS
    • On the Excel Web App toolbar of embedded spreadsheet, if you click the right-most button, View Full Size Workbook, the entire workbook will open for viewing in a new window

***

We hope you find the information an asset to your handicapping and please visit our free site, GreyMatterStats, where we put this information at your fingertips.

If you find something of interest that you would like to share, please feel free to leave a comment or Tweet us @GreyMatterStats

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  1. May 28, 2012 at 10:26 am

    Hi,

    We looked into this and found the following:

    Why can’t I open docs from SkyDrive.com using Office apps on my PC or Mac?

    We’re working hard to make sure SkyDrive and Office Web Apps are built using HTML5 and modern web standards to work across browsers.

    But to be able to open cloud-based files with Word, Excel, or PowerPoint on your PC or Mac, SkyDrive requires a browser plugin that’s currently available for Internet Explorer and Firefox on the PC or Safari and Firefox on the Mac. If you use these browsers and still have issues opening docs, here’s a quick way to troubleshoot the problem:

    Check if a plugin named “SharePoint…” or “Microsoft Office 2010…” is installed and enabled. If you have a recent version of Office, the plugin should already be installed. Here’s how to check for add-ins on IE8, IE9, Firefox and Safari.
    If you don’t see the plugin, install a free trial of Office 2010 or Office 2011. This will automatically add the plugin to your browser. You may also need to install the Windows Live ID Sign-in Assistant on Windows.
    If you use OS X Lion or Snow Leopard, setup Safari to run in 32-bit mode.

    NOTE: You need Office 2003, 2007 or 2010 on the PC or Office 2008 or Office 2011 on the Mac to open files from SkyDrive.

  2. May 27, 2012 at 12:02 pm

    Spreadsheet doesn’t work for Mac users.

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