Home > NBA, Site Features, Trends > NBA – A Deeper Look

NBA – A Deeper Look

With the NBA season at the one-quarter mark, we thought we’d use the S.H.A.R.P. section and the Team Profiles section of the website to take a deeper look at some of the line and total trends making news early on. Here are a few interesting tidbits we found…

– While favorites are hitting overall 56%+ ATS this season, small favorites (1, 1.5 or 2pts) are covering at an absurd 72% clip.
– Unders may be hitting more often than not overall, but for totals of 180 or lower, the over is a good bet…hitting 70% so far this season.
– The favorite and the under are both strong plays when the away team is playing their 4th straight road game (Fav and Under are each hitting 69% in games meeting the above criteria).
– The 76ers and the Nuggets are the best ATS bets so far this season – they’ve covered in 75% and 71% of their games respectively.
– Conversely, the New York Knicks are the undisputed cellar-dwellers of the cover this season, posting an abysmal 19% ATS mark.
– Mavericks, Suns, and Timberwolves games are generally a good bet to the under…all three have gone under the total in 70%+ of their games.
– Several teams exhibit strong line or total tilts when viewed from a Home/Away angle. Of note…

o Unders are 8-1 in Celtics home games, but 2-4 on the road.
o The over is 6-0 in Warriors away games, but only 2-6 in home games.
o The under is 5-0 in Pacers home games.
o Grizzlies home games are 7-1 to the over, but away games are 1-6 to the over.
o The Wizards do not have a road win.
o The Lakers are 9-2 straight up at home but 1-5 on the road.
o The Spurs are 9-1 straight up at home but also only 1-5 on the road.

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