Home > General Information, NFL, Trends > NFL Five Year Playoff History – Broken Down By Team, Game Type, Line Movement, Line History, and Total History

NFL Five Year Playoff History – Broken Down By Team, Game Type, Line Movement, Line History, and Total History

The spreadsheet below offers a snapshot of many different historic data views for the upcoming NFL playoffs.

The data is presented at the team level, game type level, line movement level, and graphs and raw data for the closing line and closing total results.

Please keep in mind that the analysis is for a five year history only, so the sample size is relatively small.

That said, we think you will still find the information useful.

Some observations:

  • 4 teams have no playoff history in our five year window
  • New England while 5-3 SU is on 2-6 ATS
  • The Giants while 3-3 SU are 5-1 ATS * Strongest ATS percentage of all playoff teams * Also the Giants are 4-0 ATS on the road 0-1 ATS at home
  • The Steelers are 7-0 to the Over
  • The Ravens are 3-0 to the Under as a Favorite 
  • Favorites are 60.0% ATS in Conference Championship Games
  • Dogs are 65.0% in the Division Games
  • The Over is 80.0% in the Conference Championship Games
  • When the line moved down it was correct 6-1 or 85.7% in Division Games and 4-1 or 80.0% in Conference Championship Games
  • When the line moved up it was correct 4-0 or 100.0% in Conference Championship Games, but only 2-4 33.3% in Division Games
  • When a Total moved up in a Division Game the move was 5-2 or 71.4% correct
  • When the Line was less than 2.5 Dogs have been 65.0% or greater ATS
  • When the Line was greater than 10.5 Dogs are 100.0% ATS
  • When the Total was between 34-39 the Over has been 100.0%
  • When the Total has been 49 or greater, the Under has been 6-3, or 66.7%

In the embedded Excel workbook below,  you will find the following worksheets:

  1. BY_PLAYOFF_TEAM – ML/ATS/Total Results for all Playoff Teams broken down by Favorite, Dog, Home, Away
  2. BY_PLAYOFF_ROUND – ML/ATS/Total Results By NFL Playoff Rounds
  3. WHEN_LINED_MOVED_DOWN – Breakdown by Game Type when the Line went Down
  4. WHEN_LINED_MOVED_UP – Breakdown by Game Type when the Line went Up
  5. WHEN_TOTAL_MOVED_DOWN – Breakdown by Game Type when the Total went Down
  6. WHEN_TOTAL_MOVED_UP – Breakdown by Game Type when the Total went Up
  7. BY_LINE_GRAPH – Graph of Favorites and Dogs by Closing Line
  8. BY_LINE_COUNT – Counts for Favorites and Dogs by Closing Line
  9. BY_TOTAL_GRAPH – Graph of Overs and Unders by Closing Total
  10. BY_TOTAL_COUNT – Counts for Overs and Unders by Closing Total

On the Excel Web App toolbar of embedded spreadsheet, if you click the right-most button, View Full Size Workbook, the entire workbook will open for viewing in a new window.

***

We hope you find the information an asset to your handicapping and please visit our free site, GreyMatterStats, where we put this information at your fingertips.

If you find something of interest that you would like to share, please feel free to leave a comment or Tweet us  @GreyMatterStats

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